1998 Federal Election: Two-Party-Preferred Statistics

The 1998 Federal Election is the second election this decade where the party or parties that won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote failed to win the election.

This also occurred in 1998, as well as in 1969, 1961 and 1954.

The Howard coalition government was elected with 49.02% of the two-party-preferred vote. It secured 80 of the 148 seats (54%) in the House of Representatives. Thus, its exaggerated majority is 5.03%.

The ALP secured a majority of the two-party vote in three States (NSW, Victoria & Tasmania) and both Territories. There was an overall swing to the ALP of 4.61%, the party regaining much of the 5.06% it lost in 1996.

The swing ranged from 0.94% in the Northern Territory to 7.17% in Queensland.

A measure of the electoral wipe-out the ALP suffered in 1996 can be seen by the fact that even though it secured swings of between 4 and 7 per cent in South Australia, Western Australia and Queensland, it remains the minority grouping in those States.

Two-Party-Preferred Statistics 1998
House of Representatives – Summary
State ALP Votes ALP % L/NP Votes L/NP % % Swing To ALP
New South Wales 1,879,281
51.54
1,766,640
48.46
4.11
Victoria 1,521,560
53.53
1,321,121
46.47
3.22
Queensland 935,867
46.95
1,057,508
53.05
7.17
Western Australia 515,733
49.46
527,042
50.54
5.46
South Australia 434,189
46.89
491,802
53.11
4.15
Tasmania 176,241
57.32
131,236
42.68
5.74
Australian Capital Territory 121,552
62.44
73,131
37.56
6.98
Northern Territory 45,986
50.57
44,951
49.43
0.94
Total 5,630,409
50.98
5,413,431
49.02
4.61

 

Source: Australian Electoral Commission publications

 

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