2004 Primary Vote Winners, Preference Vote Losers

There were 8 seats in the 2004 federal election where the primary vote leader was defeated after the full distribution of preferences.

In all 8 seats, the coalition candidate led on primary votes but the seat was won by the ALP after preferences.

Primary Leads Overturned After Preference Distribution
House of Representatives – 2004
No. State Division Incumbent Leader Primary % Successful Candidate Primary % Two-Party %
1
NSW Parramatta Ross Cameron (LP) Ross Cameron (LP)
44.09
Julie Owens (ALP)
41.55
50.77
2
NSW Richmond Larry Anthony (NP) Larry Anthony (NP)
45.49
Justine Elliot (ALP)
35.60
50.19
3
SA Adelaide Trish Worth (LP) Trish Worth (LP)
45.29
Kate Ellis (ALP)
41.92
51.33
4
SA Hindmarsh Christine Gallus (LP)
retired
Simon Birmingham (LP)
45.88
Steve Georganas (ALP)
42.33
50.06
5
VIC Bendigo Steve Gibbons (ALP) Kevin Gibbins (LP)
45.44
Steve Gibbons (ALP)
43.53
50.96
6
VIC Melbourne Ports Michael Danby (ALP David Southwick (LP)
42.94
Michael Danby (ALP)
39.25
53.74
7
WA Cowan Graham Edwards (ALP) Luke Simpkins (LP)
44.39
Graham Edwards (ALP)
43.87
50.78
8
WA Swan Kim Wilkie (ALP) Peter Murfin (LP)
44.14
Kim Wilkie (ALP)
39.92
50.08

These statistics show the full force of the preferential voting system. For example, Justine Elliot won Richmond, despite polling only 35.60% of the primary vote, because she gained the majority of second preferences from the minor candidates.

Overall, there were 61 electorates (40.6%) of the 150 where preference distribution was required to obtain a winner in 2004.


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