Final Two-Party Figures: Coalition Won 2013 Election With 3.61% Swing

Final figures published by the Australian Electoral Commission show that the Coalition won the 2013 federal election with a 3.61% swing.

The Liberal-Nationals coalition polled 53.49% of the national two-party-preferred vote. The ALP received 46.51%.

Every state and territory recorded a swing against the ALP. The largest swing was 9.39% in Tasmania. The smallest was 1.09% in the Northern Territory.

The Coalition did best in Western Australia, where it polled 58.28%, Queensland, where it polled 56.98% and New South Wales, where it polled 54.35%.

The Coalition had a net gain of 17 seats. It picked up 10 seats in NSW and 3 in Tasmania. It had a net gain of 2 in Victoria and 1 each in Queensland and South Australia. It lost one seat to the Palmer United Party’s Clive Palmer and one to Cathy McGowan, an independent.

The ALP received a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in just two states: Tasmania, where it polled 51.23% and Victoria, where it polled 50.20%. Its highest vote was 59.91% in the ACT.

Nationally, the ALP lost 17 seats: 8 in NSW, 3 each in Victoria and Tasmania, 2 in Queensland and 1 in South Australia. It did not win any seats from the Coalition. It failed to retake Melbourne from the Greens or Denison from Andrew Wilkie.

Interestingly, even though Tasmania produced the largest anti-Labor swing of 9.39% and the ALP lost 3 of its 4 seats, the swing came off such a high base (60.62%) that it still won a majority of the two-party vote (51.23%).

Victoria also delivered a big swing against the ALP (5.11%) off a historical high point of 55.31%. However, the ALP still won a majority of the vote (50.20%) and a majority of seats (19/37) in Victoria. The second biggest swing against the ALP was in South Australia (5.54%) but the party only lost one of its six seats.

No seats changed hands in Western Australia, the Northern Territory or the Australian Capital Territory.

The final figures shown below are based on preference counts in all 150 seats. In those seats where the final result was not a Labor-Coalition contest – Melbourne, Indi, Wills, Batman, Mallee, Denison, Fairfax, Kennedy, New England, Durack and O’Connor – preference flows were also counted to show the final result as Labor versus Coalition.

Two Party-Preferred Votes – 2013 Federal Election
Australian Labor Party Liberal-Nationals Coalition
State Votes % Votes % Total Swing Against ALP
New South Wales
1,896,175
45.65
2,257,654
54.35
4,153,829
-3.19
Victoria
1,653,977
50.20
1,640,682
49.80
3,294,659
-5.11
Queensland
1,085,449
43.02
1,437,803
56.98
2,523,252
-1.84
Western Australia
528,394
41.72
738,110
58.28
1,266,504
-1.87
South Australia
478,952
47.64
526,493
52.36
1,005,445
-5.54
Tasmania
169,208
51.23
161,086
48.77
330,294
-9.39
Australian Capital Territory
144,688
59.91
96,815
40.09
241,503
-1.76
Northern Territory
49,374
49.65
50,067
50.35
99,441
-1.09
NATIONAL
6,006,217
46.51
6,908,710
53.49
12,914,927
-3.61


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