Two-Party-Preferred Statistics 1998
Australian Capital Territory
The A.C.T. remained an ALP stronghold in 1998. It secured an overall swing of 6.98% and held both lower house electorates with margins over 10%.
Whilst Canberrans turned on the ALP in the Canberra by-election in 1995 and returned a Liberal member, Brendan Smyth, he was defeated in the 1996 general election, gaining the dubious distinction of being the only incumbent coalition member to lose.
Given the cuts in government spending and the Howard government's policies towards the Public Service, it is highly unlikely that there will be any joy in this territory for the Liberals in 2001, although the Australian Democrats will be aiming to win a Senate seat. The Democrats polled 16.66% in the ACT Senate election in 1998. They need to double this if they are to have any hope of defeating Senate President Margaret Reid.
Two-Party-Preferred Statistics 1998
House of Representatives - Australian Capital Territory |
|---|
| No. |
Electorate |
% Swing To ALP
From 1996 |
ALP |
Coalition |
% Swing Required
To Lose In 2001 |
| 1 |
Canberra |
7.74 |
60.06 |
39.94 |
10.06 |
| 2 |
Fraser |
6.00 |
64.86 |
35.14 |
14.86 |
|
TOTAL |
6.98 |
62.44 |
37.56 |
Source: Australian Electoral Commission publications
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