Two-Party-Preferred Statistics 1998

Queensland

In 1998, the ALP secured a two-party swing of 7.17%, lifting it's vote to 46.95%. This allowed it to retake 6 seats: Bowman, Capricornia, Dickson, Griffith, Lilley and Oxley.

At a by-election in March 2001, the ALP added Ryan to its tally, giving it 9 of the 27 Queensland seats. There are now 7 seats held by margins of less than 1% and another 4 seats under 4%. By any measure, Queensland will be a major battleground in the 2001 election.

The 1998 election saw Oxley return to the ALP, following the decision by Pauline Hanson to contest the new semi-rural seat of Blair. Despite topping the primary vote count with 35.97%, Hanson was defeated after preferences by the Liberal candidate, Cameron Thompson.

Two-Party-Preferred Statistics 1998 House of Representatives - Queensland
No.	Electorate	% Swing To ALP From 1996	ALP	Coalition	% Swing Required To Lose In 2001
1	Blair	10.61	41.97	58.03	8.03
2	Bowman	4.18	53.29	46.71	3.29
3	Brisbane	3.93	54.59	45.41	4.59
4	Capricornia	8.75	55.29	44.71	5.29
5	Dawson	6.43	45.58	54.42	4.42
6	Dickson	4.02	50.12	49.88	0.12
7	Fadden	9.96	42.41	57.59	7.59
8	Fairfax	13.25	45.64	54.36	4.36
9	Fisher	9.64	39.00	61.00	11.00
10	Forde	6.76	44.75	55.25	5.25
11	Griffith	3.93	52.43	47.57	2.43
12	Groom	8.25	36.96	63.04	13.04
13	Herbert	6.52	49.90	50.10	0.10
14	Hinkler	7.60	49.66	50.34	0.34
15	Kennedy	2.97	38.81	61.19	11.19
16	Leichhardt	0.52	45.95	54.05	4.05
17	Lilley	3.51	53.13	46.87	3.13
18	Longman	8.98	49.08	50.92	0.92
19	McPherson	8.82	41.66	58.34	8.34
20	Maranoa	7.07	35.58	64.42	14.42
21	Moncrieff	7.63	37.17	62.83	12.83
22	Moreton	5.40	49.43	50.57	0.57
23	Oxley	7.85	58.20	41.80	8.20
24	Petrie	7.52	49.25	50.75	0.75
25	Rankin	9.07	58.69	41.31	8.69
26	Ryan	7.46	40.48	59.52	9.52
26	Ryan By-Election 17-3-01	9.69	50.17	49.83	0.17
27	Wide Bay	15.32	47.14	52.86	2.86
TOTAL		7.17	46.95	53.05

Source: Australian Electoral Commission publications

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