Two-Party-Preferred Statistics 1998
South Australia
South Australia was a disappointment to the ALP in 1998. Despite a statewide swing of 4.15%, it only won the seat of Kingston from the Liberal Party and is outnumbered 9 seats to 3.
The coalition won a clear majority of the two-party-preferred vote and was cushioned against the swing to the ALP by the large margin it secured in 1996.
The electorates of Adelaide, Kingston, Hindmarsh and Makin will be important battlegrounds in the 2001 election.
Another seat to watch will be Mayo, held by the Foreign Affairs Minister, Alexander Downer, who was nearly defeated in 1998 by John Schumann from the Australian Democrats. Schumann polled 22.43% of the primary vote and 48.26% of the two-party-preferred.
Two-Party-Preferred Statistics 1998
House of Representatives - South Australia |
|---|
| No. |
Electorate |
% Swing To ALP
From 1996 |
ALP |
Coalition |
% Swing Required
To Lose In 2001 |
| 1 |
Adelaide |
2.58 |
49.09 |
50.91 |
0.91 |
| 2 |
Barker |
7.14 |
36.26 |
63.74 |
13.74 |
| 3 |
Bonython |
5.07 |
64.53 |
35.47 |
14.53 |
| 4 |
Boothby |
4.16 |
42.55 |
57.45 |
7.45 |
| 5 |
Grey |
0.50 |
41.96 |
58.04 |
8.04 |
| 6 |
Hindmarsh |
6.83 |
48.77 |
51.23 |
1.23 |
| 7 |
Kingston |
2.48 |
50.47 |
49.53 |
0.47 |
| 8 |
Makin |
0.14 |
49.06 |
50.94 |
0.94 |
| 9 |
Mayo |
5.26 |
40.10 |
59.90 |
9.90 |
| 10 |
Port Adelaide |
9.06 |
66.10 |
33.90 |
16.10 |
| 11 |
Sturt |
2.70 |
42.71 |
57.29 |
7.29 |
| 12 |
Wakefield |
3.67 |
33.71 |
66.29 |
16.29 |
|
TOTAL |
4.15 |
46.89 |
53.11 |
Source: Australian Electoral Commission publications
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