Coalition Wins Biggest Pro-Government Swing Since 1966
November 16, 2001
Latest counting of votes by the Australian Electoral Commission now supports the assertion made by the Prime Minister, John Howard, on election night that his government has received the biggest swing since 1966.
In two-party-preferred terms, the coalition is now polling 51.02%, an increase of 2.00% swing over its 1998 performance. This represents 5,140,373 votes.
The ALP is polling 48.98% of the two-party vote, or 4,933,933 votes, a difference of 206,440 votes.
The 2% swing to the government surpasses the 1993 swing of 1.54% to the Keating Labor government, but is less than the 4.3% swing to the coalition led by Harold Holt in 1966.
The latest state-by-state figures are as follows:
Two-Party-Preferred Statistics 2001 & 1998
House of Representatives (Provisional Results 16-11-01) |
|---|
|
1998 |
2001 |
| State |
ALP % |
L/NP % |
% Swing To ALP |
ALP % |
L/NP % |
% Swing To Coalition |
| New South Wales |
51.54 |
48.46 |
4.11 |
47.91 |
52.09 |
3.63 |
| Victoria |
53.53 |
46.47 |
3.22 |
52.14 |
47.86 |
1.39 |
| Queensland |
46.95 |
53.05 |
7.17 |
45.37 |
54.63 |
1.58 |
| Western Australia |
49.46 |
50.54 |
5.46 |
48.33 |
51.67 |
1.13 |
| South Australia |
46.89 |
53.11 |
4.15 |
45.78 |
54.22 |
1.11 |
| Tasmania |
57.32 |
42.68 |
5.74 |
57.63 |
42.37 |
-0.31 |
| Australian Capital Territory |
62.44 |
37.56 |
6.98 |
60.94 |
39.06 |
1.50 |
| Northern Territory |
50.57 |
49.43 |
0.94 |
52.64 |
47.36 |
-2.07 |
|
Total |
50.98 |
49.02 |
4.61 |
48.98 |
51.02 |
2.00 |
The biggest swing against the ALP is 3.63% in New South Wales. Only the Northern Territory (2.07%) and Tasmania (0.31%) recorded pro-Labor swings. The coalition's best State is Queensland and it's worst is Tasmania.
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