The Sharp End: 2002 Victorian State Election
Bored Media Lap Up The Controversy
by Ari Sharp
November 18, 2002
Is any more evidence needed of how bored the media are with the campaign
than the treatment of the Robert Dean saga? It is fascinating to note that
this single act of stupidity has attracted more media and more analysis than
the myriad of policy announcements that have sustained the campaign. For
many voters, this is the first major impression that the campaign has made
on their thinking. Given the amount of attention devoted to it, one could
easily be excused for thinking that the incident meant something
significant.
As well as reflecting the broader trends of a trivia obsessed media, the
incident has demonstrated that the media are milling around, bored, and
looking for scandal and gossip. When it emerged, the media lapped it up,
pursuing every angle, interviewing every incidental character and making
wildly fanciful assumptions based on a single, stupid mistake.
In
substance, however, did it make a real difference? Is it fair to say that
because of a single member’s mistake that the Liberals were therefore unfit
to govern, or was this the spin placed on the story by Bracks, and
subsequently adopted by the media. There are a range of reasons why the
Liberals are unfit to govern – the fact that Robert Dean forgot to have his
mail forwarded to his new address is not one of them.
Compare the coverage given to the Dean saga with the coverage given to the
release of Treasury figures under the charter of budget honesty. Whilst
clearly having greater significance in the governance of Victoria, the
coverage of the budget figures was small and the questioning not
particularly probing. The same cannot be said of Robert Dean. We eagerly
await the announcement that Dr Dean is the new host of Hot Property.
Given the pace of an election campaign, Robert Dean is ancient history come
early next week. The impression, however, is that this event is not likely
to be replaced by substantive policy announcements. More likely, it’ll be
replaced by another gaffe, another misspoken word or error-ridden policy
document, such is the nature of the campaign.
The focus on gaffes, and anything that diverts at all from the tightly
prepared script is seized upon. This is largely a product of the short
leashes which each of the leaders are on. This phenomena was documented
brilliantly in 1996, when Santo Cilauro followed the Keating campaign, and
saw how closely prepared each campaign event was, and how any chance of
spontaneity was minimised. The theory behind this approach is clear. The
fewer the campaign messages for the day, the more likely those preferred
messages will shape the day’s news coverage. The more wide ranging and
unfocused the message, the more likely that the candidate will lose control
of the story and the ability to shape the coverage. The other advantage, of
course, is that the less a candidate says, the less chance they will say
something wrong.
In 1999 Jeff Kennett tried to take this approach to the extreme, by
preventing his Liberal colleagues from speaking in public on anything, hence
making him the sole focus in the coverage of the Liberals. Given the flack
copped by Kennett for his efforts in 1999, it is no surprise that Doyle and
Bracks haven’t gone to Kennett’s extreme. They have, however, followed the
approach of the tight script.
The first two weeks may have been clean, but wait for things to get dirty
during the run home to election day. Reports over the weekend suggested
that the ALP have resorted to push polling in key inner city seats, where
the Greens are the threat. Whilst it is hard to know the accuracy of the
reports, no one in the ALP has denied the claim. Push polling is a tactic
developed in the United States (where even there, in the home of political
consultancy and campaign tricks, it is considered unethical). Essentially,
it uses the premise of polling to speak to a large number of voters, and
uses the power of suggestion to demonise one’s opponent. In this case in
inner Melbourne, the push polling is feeding fears about some of the Greens
excesses, and the likelihood of a Greens/Liberal agreement in the new
parliament. Given this polling, it would be surprising if the Greens didn’t
hit back, 'outing' the ALP for its push polling, and emphasising the
similarities in policy between Bracks and Kennett.
For a bored media, this will be a Godsend - just sit back, and watch the
dirt fly!
Ari Sharp is the Australian Democrats candidate for the East Yarra
byelection in the 2002 State Election. This is his personal opinion and does
not necessarily reflect the views of the Australian Democrats.
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