Federal Election Pendulum Following The 2004 Election

The election pendulum ranks the 150 electorates in the House of Representatives won by each party on a two-party-preferred basis.

The electorate of Kennedy, held by the independent Bob Katter, has been placed in the coalition column. Katter originally won Kennedy for the National Party in 1993.

The electorate of Calare, held by the independent Peter Andren, has been placed in the ALP column on the basis that it is a non-government seat.

COALITION SEATS				ALP SEATS
24.8	Mallee (NP)	VIC	1
24.1	Murray	VIC	2
20.9	Maranoa			25.9	Gellibrand	VIC	3
				22.4	Throsby	NSW	4
				22.3	Grayndler	NSW	5
				22.3	Calare (IND)	NSW	6
				22.2	Reid	NSW	7

				19.8	Lalor	VIC	14
3	Mitchell	NSW	19.5	19.8	Sydney	NSW	15
4	Mallee (NP)	VIC	19.4	19.0	Calwell (IND)	VIC	16
				17.8	Cunningham	NSW	17
5	Mackellar	NSW	17.1	17.6	Watson	NSW	18
6	Wakefield	SA	16.6	16.8	Prospect	NSW	19
7	O’Connor	WA	16.6	16.5	Newcastle	NSW	20
				15.7	Port Adelaide	SA	21
8	Riverina (NP)	NSW	14.7	15.1	Holt	VIC	22
9	Maranoa (NP)	QLD	14.4	14.9	Fraser	ACT	23
10	Farrer (NP)	NSW	14.2	14.5	Denison	TAS	24
11	Barker	SA	14.0	14.1	Hunter	NSW	25
12	New England (NP)	NSW	13.7	13.6	Hotham	VIC	26
13	Curtin	WA	13.5	13.4	Brand	WA	27
14	Berowra	NSW	13.3	13.3	Bonython	SA	28
15	Groom	QLD	13.0	13.0	Kingsford-Smith	NSW	29

16	Moncrieff	QLD	12.8	12.6	Werriwa	NSW	30
17	Warringah	NSW	12.8	12.5	Perth	WA	31
18	North Sydney	NSW	12.7	12.3	Fremantle	WA	32
19	Gwydir (NP)	NSW	12.0	12.2	Shortland	NSW	33
20	Kooyong	VIC	11.4	12.2	Charlton	NSW	34
21	Kennedy (IND)	QLD	11.2	11.4	Corio	VIC	35
22	Fisher	QLD	11.0	11.1	Lyons	TAS	36
23	Indi	VIC	10.1
24	Lyne (NP)	NSW	10.1	10.1	Canberra	ACT	37

25	Higgins	VIC	9.6	9.8	Barton	NSW	38
26	Cook	NSW	9.4	9.5	Greenway	NSW	39
27	Grey	SA	9.0
28	Gippsland (NP)	VIC	8.8	8.7	Rankin	QLD	40
29	McPherson	QLD	8.3
30	Goldstein	VIC	8.2	8.2	Oxley	QLD	41
31	Blair	QLD	8.0

32	Sturt	SA	7.7
33	Boothby	SA	7.6	7.6	Burke	VIC	42
34	Fadden	QLD	7.6
35	Wentworth	NSW	7.4
36	Wannon	VIC	7.4
37	Hume	NSW	7.3	7.3	Banks	NSW	43
38	Tangney	WA	7.0

				6.7	Bruce	VIC	44
39	Hughes	NSW	6.4	6.6	Franklin	TAS	45
40	Parkes (NP)	NSW	6.4	6.4	Isaacs	VIC	46

41	Macquarie	NSW	5.8	5.9	Jaga Jaga	VIC	47
42	Cowper (NP)	NSW	5.7	5.8	Melbourne Ports	VIC	48
43	Moore	WA	5.6	5.5	Lingiari	NT	49
44	Menzies	VIC	5.4	5.3	Capricornia	QLD	50
45	Bennelong	NSW	5.2
46	Pearce	WA	5.2
47	Forde	QLD	5.2

48	Casey	VIC	4.9	4.7	Lowe	NSW	51
49	Forrest	WA	4.6	4.6	Brisbane	QLD	52
50	Gilmore	NSW	4.6
51	Corangamite	VIC	4.5
52	Fairfax	QLD	4.4
53	Dawson	QLD	4.4	4.3	Braddon	TAS	53
54	Leichhardt	QLD	4.1

55	Flinders	VIC	3.7	3.6	Cowan	WA	54
56	Page (NP)	NSW	3.4	3.5	Bendigo	VIC	55
				3.3	Bowman	QLD	56
57	Lindsay	NSW	3.0	3.1	Lilley	QLD	57

58	Wide Bay	QLD	2.9	2.8	Swan	WA	58
59	Ballarat	VIC	2.8	2.6	Hasluck	WA	59
60	Solomon (CLP)	NT	2.2	2.5	Parramatta	NSW	60
61	Kalgoorlie	WA	2.1	2.4	Griffith	QLD	61
62	Robertson	NSW	2.0	2.2	Stirling	WA	62
63	Dunkley	VIC	2.0	2.1	Chisholm	VIC	63

64	Deakin	VIC	1.9	1.9	Kingston	SA	64
65	Mayo	SA	1.7	1.7	Macarthur	NSW	65
66	Paterson	NSW	1.3	1.5	Dobell	NSW	66
67	Hindmarsh	SA	1.2
68	McEwen	VIC	1.0
69	La Trobe	VIC	1.0

70	Longman	QLD	0.9
71	Richmond (NP)	NSW	0.8
72	Petrie	QLD	0.8
73	Makin	SA	0.8
74	Adelaide	SA	0.7
75	Aston	VIC	0.6	0.6	MacMillan	VIC	67
76	Moreton	QLD	0.6	0.4	Canning	WA	68
77	Eden-Monaro	NSW	0.6	0.2	Ryan	QLD	69
78	Hinkler (NP)	QLD	0.3	0.1	Dickson	QLD	70
79	Herbert	QLD	0.1	0.1	Bass	TAS	71