As counting proceeds in the 2016 House of Representatives elections, it appears that only 16 seats resisted the nationwide swing to the ALP.
Fifteen seats held by the Liberal Party and 1 seat held by The Nationals recorded swings away from the ALP. Thirteen of these seats were already held by the Coalition.
The swings range from 0.09% in Cook to 3.04% in Deakin.
The Liberal Party won just one seat from the ALP, the Melbourne electorate of Chisholm, with a swing of 2.91%.
The national two-party-preferred swing against the Coalition currently stands at 3.16%. Every State and Territory swung to the ALP, ranging from 0.72% in the Australian Capital Territory to 8.90% in South Australia.
The Coalition won the State two-party-preferred contest in NSW (50.42%), Queensland (53.95%) and Western Australia (54.54%).
Nationally, the ALP recorded a swing to it in 120 seats. In the remaining 14 seats, the two-party votes were not Coalition v Labor, but involved the Greens, Nick Xenophon Team and independents.
The list of seats in the table below is ordered by the size of the swing to the Coalition.
NOTE 1: These figures are correct as of 12pm, Thursday, July 14, 2016. The figures are likely to change slightly as results are finalised. This list will be updated when final results are known.
NOTE 2: Swings can only be compared using the two-party-preferred (2PP) figures. Australia’s system of compulsory preferential voting ensures that every vote must ultimately choose between the final two candidates. Even in those seats where the final two candidates are not ALP v. Coalition, the Australian Electoral Commission calculates it anyway. There are 14 such seats in this election.
NOTE 3: The two-party swing is calculated from general election to general election. In the case of Griffith, the ALP improved its vote at this year’s election, compared to the 2014 by-election, but is still behind where it was in 2013.
NOTE 4: The seat of Murray will probably be added to this list when results are finalised. The Liberal Party lost Murray to the Nationals and the ALP’s primary vote fell by 6.05%. The Coalition v ALP two-party-preferred vote will be calculated by the AEC when counting is finalised.
2016 Federal Election – Seats Swinging To the Coalition | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | Seat | State | Previous Member | Party | 2013 2PP % |
Swing % | 2016 2PP % |
Outcome |
Deakin | Michael Sukkar | Liberal | Retained by Liberal | |||||
Chisholm | Anna Burke (ret) Stefanie Perri |
ALP | WON BY LIBERAL Julia Banks |
|||||
Gippsland | Darren Chester | Nationals | Retained by Nationals | |||||
Curtin | Julie Bishop | Liberal | Retained by Liberal | |||||
Kooyong | Josh Frydenberg | Liberal | Retained by Liberal | |||||
Bennelong | John Alexander | Liberal | Retained by Liberal | |||||
Melbourne Ports | Michael Danby | ALP | Retained by ALP | |||||
Brisbane | Teresa Gambaro (ret) Trevor Evans |
LNP | Retained by LNP | |||||
Reid | Craig Laundy | Liberal | Retained by Liberal | |||||
Griffith | Terri Butler | ALP | Retained by ALP | |||||
Petrie | Luke Howarth | LNP | Retained by LNP | |||||
Ryan | Jane Prentice | LNP | Retained by LNP | |||||
Goldstein | Andrew Robb (ret) Tim Wilson |
Liberal | Retained by Liberal | |||||
Bradfield | Paul Fletcher | Liberal | Retained by Liberal | |||||
Aston | Alan Tudge | Liberal | Retained by Liberal | |||||
Cook | Scott Morrison | Liberal | Retained by Liberal |
Legend:
Liberal = Liberal Party of Australia
Nationals = The Nationals
LNP = Liberal National Party of Queensland
ALP = Australian Labor Party
Source: Australian Electoral Commission