Most of the first-term members of the previous parliament have been returned to the new 45th parliament.
Of 42 members elected for the first time at the 2013 federal election, 31 (73.8%) were re-elected on July 2, 2016.
Eight members (19%), all Liberals, were defeated at the election.
|The Fate of 2013 First Term House Members
|No. of First Termers
|Australian Labor Party
|Palmer United Party
Another three members – Mal Brough (LNP), Clive Palmer (PUP) and Alannah MacTiernan (ALP) – chose to retire or not contest.
Just three of the Liberal members elected in 2013 increased their majorities this year: Luke Howarth (Petrie), Craig Laundy (Reid) and Michael Sukkar (Deakin). All represent marginal seats taken from Labor in 2013. Their success has been vital to the narrow return of the Turnbull government.
The 6 first-term Nationals members all suffered swings against them but survived. Michelle Landry’s narrow victory in Capricornia was also crucial to the survival of the government. Whilst experiencing a swing against him, Nationals leader Barnaby Joyce wasn’t seriously troubled by Tony Windsor.
The first-term ALP members mainly represent safe seats. Only Lisa Chesters (Bendigo) and David Feeney (Batman) could be said to have highly marginal seats. Whilst Chesters secured a 2.48% swing towards her, Feeney’s two-party vote fell by 9.58% against the Greens, reducing his margin to 1.03%.
The table below shows each first-term MP, their seat, current status and their two-party-votes and swing from 2013 and 2016. Because there have been redistributions in NSW and Western Australia, 2013 2PP figures are notional. In Barker, New England and Fairfax, the contest involved different candidates and parties from last time, so the figures I have used are indicative only. The AEC will provide a Labor-Coalition two-party count in due course.
|2016 Federal Election – Fate of First-Term Members
|AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY
|PALMER UNITED PARTY