It is generally accepted that there are a number of long, medium and short term factors that determine the way people vote.
Long Term Socio-Economic/Sociological Influences
- Socioeconomic Factors – census data matched to House of Representatives electorates
- Party Identification
- Parental Inflence
- Gender
- Ethnicity
- Class
Medium Term Influences
- Government Performance
- Opposition Performance
- The Opposition Leader
- Leadership
- Economic Conditions
- Political Events
Short Term Influences
- Election Timing
- The Election Campaign
- Length of Election Campaign
- Quality of Candidates
- Advertising
- Local Issues
- Policy Announcements and Presentation
Archived Posts on Electoral Behaviour
- Apr 15, 1985: 1984 Post-Election Analysis: McMullan, Henderson And Butman
- Apr 15, 1985: Swinging Voters And The 1984 Federal Election
- Apr 11, 1990: Bob Hogg: 1990 Federal Election Analysis
- Mar 13, 1996: Andrew Robb: The 1996 Federal Election
- Mar 21, 1996: Gary Gray: The 1996 Federal Election
- Jun 10, 1996: ALP National Secretary Gary Gray’s Address to the Queensland ALP Conference
- Apr 29, 1997: How Important Is The Election Campaign In Determining Voter Behaviour?
- Oct 23, 1998: Lynton Crosby: 1998 Election Analysis
- Nov 05, 2000: Local Issues As An Influence On Voting Behaviour
- Feb 11, 2001: The Difficult Task Of Winning A Third Term
- Apr 03, 2001: Socioeconomic Breakdown Of House Electorates
- Nov 11, 2001: ALP National Secretary Geoff Walsh Discusses Labor’s Election Defeat
- Nov 21, 2001: Lynton Crosby: 2001 Federal Election Analysis
- Dec 03, 2001: Geoff Walsh: 2001 Federal Election Analysis
- Dec 05, 2001: The Opposition Leader As A Factor Influencing Voting Behaviour
- Feb 10, 2002: Howard Comments On Issues, Incumbency And Leadership In South Australian Election
- Jun 10, 2002: John Howard’s Formula For Winning Elections
- Oct 08, 2004: The Latham-Howard Handshake
- Oct 27, 2004: Brian Loughnane: Liberal Party’s 2004 Federal Election Analysis
- Oct 30, 2004: Latham: Positive Approach Failed Labor In 2004 Election
- Nov 10, 2004: Tim Gartrell: 2004 Election Analysis
- Dec 04, 2007: Oppositions Do Win Elections: Gartrell Analyses ALP Election Victory
- Dec 19, 2007: Liberal Party Director Analyses Election Defeat
- Nov 09, 2010: Karl Bitar Analyses Result Of 2010 Federal Election (Sort Of…)
- Nov 10, 2010: Brian Loughnane Analyses Result Of 2010 Federal Election
- Dec 02, 2010: The March of Political Time
- Oct 23, 2013: Brian Loughnane: Liberal Party’s 2013 Federal Election Analysis
- Oct 29, 2013: George Wright: ALP’s 2013 Federal Election Analysis
- Nov 14, 2013: Keating: Rudd Preserved Labor As A Fighting Force
- Jan 09, 2014: Rudd Redux: Victory And Defeat
