October 3, 1998
The Federal election of 1998 was held six months earlier than required by the Constitution. Prime Minister John Howard made the announcement following the launch of the coalition’s GST policy launch and a 5-week advertising campaign. The ensuing election was almost entirely dominated by the proposed 10% Goods and Services Tax and proposed income tax cuts.
The Howard government entered the campaign with a 40-seat majority. The government suffered a nationwide swing of approximately 5% against it and the loss of 19 seats in the House of Representatives. It was returned with a 12 seat majority.
The government was re-elected with 49.02% of the two-party-preferred vote, compared to 50.98% for the Australian Labor Party.
One Minister, Warwick Smith, the Family Services minister, lost his seat. The Foreign Affairs Minister, Alexander Downer, fought off a strong challenge from the Australian Democrats in his South Australian seat of Mayo.
Whilst polling around 8% of the national vote, the One Nation party lost its leader, Pauline Hanson, who was defeated on preferences by the Liberal candidate in the Queensland electorate of Blair. One Nation won no seats in the lower house, but Heather Hill gained a Senate seat in Queensland at the expense of the National Party’s Bill O’Chee. She was subsequently disqualified under Section 44 of the Constitution.
As a result of the election, the balance of power in the Senate reverted to the Australian Democrats after July 1, 1999.
The Democrats increased their numbers from 7 to 9, including the election of the second Aboriginal member of parliament, Senator Aden Ridgeway, in New South Wales.
The ALP made the single biggest gain by an Opposition party following an election defeat. The swing was sufficient in all states to deliver government to the party, but the uneven nature of the swing denied Kim Beazley the extra few seats necessary to command a majority in the House.
Following the election, the Howard government held 10 seats by a margin of less than 1% and looked to be highly vulnerable to even the smallest swing against it at the next election.
State of the Parties
House of Representatives Elections 1998 | |||||
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ALP | LIB | NPA | IND | Total | |
Election Statistics
- Election Timetable
- AEC Electoral Newsfile: 1998 Federal Election Results
- Primary Votes in House of Representatives 1993-98
- Primary Vote leads overturned after preferences
- Two-Party-Preferred Statistics: National Summary
- Two-Party-Preferred Statistics: State-by-state and Seat-by-seat
- Federal Election Results 1901-2014 – a Parliamentary Library research paper with detailed statistics on elections since 1901.
Party Policies & Debates
Election News and Commentary
VCEpolitics.com maintained a daily news commentary during this election. These reports are archived here. They have been redesigned to fit the current look of the site, but the text is the unedited original.
- Week 1 – Aug 30-Sept 5
- Week 2 – Sept 6-Sept 12
- Week 3 – Sept 13-Sept 19
- Week 4 – Sept 20-Sept 26
- Week 5 – Sept 27-Oct 3
- Aftermath – Oct 4-Oct 12
- VCEpolitics.com Editorial
- Aug 26, 1998: Howard & Beazley at North Melbourne Grand Final Breakfast
- Aug 30, 1998: John Howard Announces the Election Date
- Sep 13, 1998: Howard and Beazley Leaders’ Debate
- Sep 17, 1998: Transcript of Howard’s interview with ABC’s Verity James
- Sep 20, 1998: Liberal Party Policy Speech – John Howard
- Sep 23, 1998: ALP Policy Speech – Kim Beazley
- Sep 30, 1998: Kim Beazley at the National Press Club
- Oct 01, 1998: John Howard at the National Press Club
- Oct 03, 1998: Kim Beazley’s Election Night Concession Speech
- Oct 03, 1998: John Howard’s Election Night Victory Speech
Election Analysis
Election Advertisements
- ALP radio advertisements
- Liberal Party advertisements
- Peter Costello (Higgins-Liberal) election leaflets
- National Party advertisement
- Australian Democrats advertisements
- Eric Bullmore, Independent Senate candidate, Victora
- Australian Electoral Commission – How-to-vote advertisements
Archived Posts
- Aug 26, 1998: Howard And Beazley Speak At AFL Grand Final Breakfast
- Aug 30, 1998: Federal Election Pendulum – 1998
- Aug 30, 1998: Howard Announces The 1998 Federal Election
- Aug 30, 1998: 1998 Federal Election Timetable
- Aug 30, 1998: VCEpolitics.com: 1998 Federal Election – Week 1
- Sep 06, 1998: VCEpolitics.com: 1998 Federal Election – Week 2
- Sep 13, 1998: Howard And Beazley In 1998 Election Debate
- Sep 13, 1998: VCEpolitics.com: 1998 Federal Election – Week 3
- Sep 17, 1998: Verity James Interviews John Howard – ABC Radio, Perth
- Sep 18, 1998: 1998 Federal Election: Tim Fischer National Party Campaign Launch
- Sep 20, 1998: John Howard’s 1998 Federal Election Policy Speech
- Sep 20, 1998: VCEpolitics.com: 1998 Federal Election – Week 4
- Sep 23, 1998: Kim Beazley’s 1998 Federal Election Policy Speech
- Sep 26, 1998: Women’s Electoral Lobby Form Guide: 1998 Federal Election
- Sep 27, 1998: VCEpolitics.com: 1998 Federal Election – Week 5
- Sep 30, 1998: Peter Costello Higgins Election Leaflets – 1998 Federal Election
- Sep 30, 1998: Vote Labor
- Sep 30, 1998: Kim Beazley At The National Press Club: 1998 Election
- Oct 01, 1998: 1998 Federal Election: ALP Advertisements
- Oct 01, 1998: 1998 Federal Election: Liberal Party Advertisements
- Oct 01, 1998: 1998 Federal Election: National Party Advertisement
- Oct 01, 1998: 1998 Federal Election: Australian Democrats Advertisements
- Oct 01, 1998: 1998 Federal Election: Eric Bullmore Advertisement
- Oct 01, 1998: 1998 Federal Election: Australian Electoral Commission Advertisements
- Oct 01, 1998: Bob Charles (Lib-La Trobe) Campaign Leaflet: 1998 Federal Election
- Oct 01, 1998: John Howard At The National Press Club: 1998 Election
- Oct 02, 1998: The Day After 1: ALP Dream
- Oct 02, 1998: The Day After 2: Liberal Dream
- Oct 03, 1998: ALP Policies For The 1998 Federal Election
- Oct 03, 1998: ALP How-To-Vote Cards For The 1998 Federal Election
- Oct 03, 1998: Liberal Party Policies For The 1998 Federal Election
- Oct 03, 1998: AEC Training Video For Polling Officials
- Oct 03, 1998: Kim Beazley’s Concession Speech: 1998 Federal Election
- Oct 03, 1998: John Howard’s 1998 Election Night Victory Speech
- Oct 04, 1998: VCEpolitics.com: 1998 Federal Election – Week 6 Aftermath
- Oct 13, 1998: Howard To Announce Ministerial Reshuffle on Sunday; ALP Caucus To Meet Next Week
- Oct 23, 1998: Lynton Crosby: 1998 Election Analysis
- Nov 01, 1998: Independent Members – House – 1998
- Nov 01, 1998: National Party Members – House – 1998
- Nov 01, 1998: Liberal Party Members – House – 1998
- Nov 01, 1998: ALP Members – House – 1998
- Nov 01, 1998: Members Of The House Of Representatives – 1998
- Nov 11, 1998: Julia Gillard (ALP-Lalor) – Maiden Speech
- Nov 20, 1998: 1998 Primary Vote Winners, Preference Vote Losers
- Nov 27, 1998: Election Funding Payments: 1998 Federal Election
- Dec 01, 1998: 1998 Federal Election: Two-Party-Preferred Statistics
- Dec 01, 1998: 1998 Federal Election: Two-Party-Preferred Statistics By State And Seat
- Dec 02, 1998: Enrolment Statistics State-By-State 1984-98
- Dec 10, 1998: AEC Electoral Newsfile: Guide To 1998 Federal Election Results
- Dec 05, 2001: The Opposition Leader As A Factor Influencing Voting Behaviour
- Jun 10, 2002: John Howard’s Formula For Winning Elections
- Jul 17, 2014: Federal Election Results 1901-2014
- Apr 01, 2017: Who’s Left – The Surviving Members Of Every House Of Representatives Since 1949