Four weeks ago, I published a post speculating on when the election might be held.
You can read the post here. In it, I speculated on the possibility that Gillard could announce the election date sometime around Australia Day.
In essence, I felt that the election date options were fairly limited. I never thought there was any possibility of an early election in the first half of the year. November was a bridge too far. Assuming an election in August, September or October, it seemed to me there were only a couple of real possibilities.