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Labor Wins Isaacs By-Election With 7.75% Primary Swing

The ALP candidate, Ann Corcoran, has won today’s by-election for the House of Representatives electorate of Isaacs, securing a 7.75% swing on the primary vote.

Ann Corcoran, ALP Member for IsaacsCorcoran has won 66% of the two-party-preferred vote, compared to 56.40% achieved by the ALP in 1998, a swing of 9.6%.

A 10% swing is a sizable swing, more than double the average swing against governments in by-elections. However, given that the Liberal Party did not field a candidate, caution should be adopted in interpreting the result. [Read more…]